Prediction: Parma vs Genoa
- Parma0-0Genoa
- Genoa0-0Parma
- Genoa1-0Parma
- Parma0-1Genoa
- Parma2-0Genoa
- Genoa3-3Parma
| Parma | Draw | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 37% | 34% |
| Market | 31% | 31% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Genoa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parma | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parma 1–3–2 Genoa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Italy Serie A | Parma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Parma |
| 12/01/25 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Parma |
| 04/11/24 Italy Serie A | Parma | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 05/02/23 Italy Serie B | Parma | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Genoa |
| 03/09/22 Italy Serie B | Genoa | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Parma |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Udinese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parma | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Pisa | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Napoli | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Parma (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 04/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parma vs Genoa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Genoa win (36%). Probabilities: Parma 30%, draw 34%, Genoa 36%.
How many goals are expected in Parma vs Genoa?
The model expects 1.63 goals (Parma 0.77 · Genoa 0.87), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Parma vs Genoa?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.