Prediction: AC Milan vs Lecce
- AC Milan1-0Lecce
- AC Milan3-0Lecce
- Lecce0-2AC Milan
- Lecce2-3AC Milan
- AC Milan3-0Lecce
- AC Milan3-0Lecce
| AC Milan | Draw | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 20% | 7% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours AC Milan: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Milan 6–0–0 Lecce
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lecce |
| 23/09/25 Coppa Italia | AC Milan | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lecce |
| 29/08/25 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 0-2 HT 0-0 | AC Milan |
| 08/03/25 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 2-3 HT 1-0 | AC Milan |
| 27/09/24 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Lecce |
| 06/04/24 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Lecce |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Como | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 17 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Milan | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Venezia | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cagliari | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Genoa | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Sassuolo | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Verona | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Milan (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Verona Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Lecce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Milan vs Lecce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Milan win (75%). Probabilities: AC Milan 75%, draw 18%, Lecce 8%.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Lecce?
The model expects 2.53 goals (AC Milan 2.04 · Lecce 0.49), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Lecce?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.