Football · Italy Serie A · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Bologna vs Torino

Team pages: Bologna · Torino

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Bologna1.37
Torino0.84
1X2
49% 28% 23%
Bologna Draw Torino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bologna 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDWWDLLD
Torino 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLWLDLLW
Head-to-head
Bologna 4–2–0 Torino (6 last)
  • Torino1-2Bologna
  • Bologna0-0Torino
  • Bologna3-2Torino
  • Torino0-2Bologna
  • Torino0-0Bologna
  • Bologna2-0Torino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bologna 1464 · Torino 1493
BolognaDrawTorino
Our model48%30%22%
Market50%27%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Bologna: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BolognaTorino
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 51.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 02.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bologna 420 Torino

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Italy Serie A
Torino1-2
HT 0-0
Bologna
29/10/25
Italy Serie A
Bologna0-0
HT 0-0
Torino
14/02/25
Italy Serie A
Bologna3-2
HT 1-1
Torino
21/12/24
Italy Serie A
Torino0-2
HT 0-0
Bologna
03/05/24
Italy Serie A
Torino0-0
HT 0-0
Bologna
27/11/23
Italy Serie A
Bologna2-0
HT 0-0
Torino

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 4310 6310
2 Roma 3300 1019
3 Inter Milan 3300 839
4 Cagliari 4301 429
5 AC Milan 4220 748
6 Como 3210 737
7 Frosinone 4211 747
8 Juventus 3210 417
9 Atalanta 4202 556
10 Sassuolo 3111 554
10 Udinese 3111 554
12 Napoli 3102 553
13 Torino 3102 453
14 Lecce 3102 253
15 Fiorentina 4103 5113
16 Bologna 3012 241
17 Parma 3012 141
18 Monza 3012 481
19 Genoa 4013 281
20 Venezia 4004 4110

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBolognaTorino
Sassuolo 2-2 D 1-2 L
Inter Milan 3-3 D 2-2 D
Cagliari 0-0 D 1-2 L
Juventus 0-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bologna (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bologna

WLLDWWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 104 D
31/08 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 21 L
24/08 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 88 L
23/05 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
2-1 3-3 12 D
17/05 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 52 W
11/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
2-1 3-2 15 W
03/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 73 D
25/04 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-2 73 L
19/04 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 11 L
12/04 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 82 W

Torino

WDDLWLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 50 W
29/08 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 21 L
24/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 63 D
17/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 12 L
08/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 76 W
02/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 22 L
26/04 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 53 D
19/04 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 13 D
11/04 Verona
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 35 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bologna vs Torino?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bologna win (49%). Probabilities: Bologna 49%, draw 28%, Torino 23%.

How many goals are expected in Bologna vs Torino?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Bologna 1.37 · Torino 0.84), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Torino?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.