Prediction: Roma vs Inter Milan
Team pages: Roma · Inter Milan
- Inter Milan5-2Roma
- Roma0-1Inter Milan
- Inter Milan0-1Roma
- Roma0-1Inter Milan
- Roma2-4Inter Milan
- Inter Milan1-0Roma
| Roma | Draw | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (rating 1587 vs 1639).
- H2H favours Inter Milan: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.6 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma 1–0–5 Inter Milan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Roma |
| 18/10/25 Italy Serie A | Roma | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Milan |
| 27/04/25 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Roma |
| 20/10/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Milan |
| 10/02/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Inter Milan |
| 29/10/23 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Roma |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Udinese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Verona | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Lazio | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Parma | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Bologna | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Inter Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Monza Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma vs Inter Milan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma win (37%). Probabilities: Roma 37%, draw 26%, Inter Milan 37%.
How many goals are expected in Roma vs Inter Milan?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Roma 1.61 · Inter Milan 1.63), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma vs Inter Milan?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.