Football · Italy Serie A · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: Juventus vs Atalanta

Team pages: Juventus · Atalanta

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Juventus1.49
Atalanta0.66
1X2
58% 26% 17%
Juventus Draw Atalanta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventus 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDDWLDWWDL
Atalanta 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDWLDWWLL
Head-to-head
Juventus 2–2–2 Atalanta (6 last)
  • Atalanta0-1Juventus
  • Atalanta3-0Juventus
  • Juventus1-1Atalanta
  • Atalanta1-2Juventus
  • Juventus0-4Atalanta
  • Atalanta1-1Juventus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventus 1570 · Atalanta 1532
JuventusDrawAtalanta
Our model56%29%15%
Market59%23%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JuventusAtalanta
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)4.8 / 8.11 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 01.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus 222 Atalanta

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Italy Serie A
Atalanta0-1
HT 0-0
Juventus
05/02/26
Coppa Italia
Atalanta3-0
HT 1-0
Juventus
27/09/25
Italy Serie A
Juventus1-1
HT 0-1
Atalanta
16/08/25
Elite Club Friendlies
Atalanta1-2
HT 0-0
Juventus
09/03/25
Italy Serie A
Juventus0-4
HT 0-1
Atalanta
14/01/25
Italy Serie A
Atalanta1-1
HT 0-0
Juventus

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 4310 6310
2 Roma 3300 1019
3 Inter Milan 3300 839
4 Cagliari 4301 429
5 AC Milan 4220 748
6 Como 3210 737
7 Frosinone 4211 747
8 Juventus 3210 417
9 Napoli 4202 656
10 Atalanta 4202 556
11 Lecce 4202 576
12 Sassuolo 3111 554
12 Udinese 3111 554
14 Torino 3102 453
15 Fiorentina 4103 5113
16 Bologna 4013 251
17 Parma 3012 141
18 Monza 4013 6111
19 Genoa 4013 281
20 Venezia 4004 4110

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJuventusAtalanta
Sassuolo 2-3 L 2-1 W
AC Milan 1-1 D 3-2 W
Fiorentina 0-2 L 1-1 D
Bologna 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Atalanta (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus

WDDWLDWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-3 104 L
06/09 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-1 74 D
29/08 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 105 W
23/08 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 124 W
24/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-2 63 D
17/05 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 64 L
09/05 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 72 W
03/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 145 D
26/04 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 35 D
19/04 Bologna
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 61 W

Atalanta

DLDWLDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-2 30 L
05/09 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 11 L
31/08 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 11 W
23/08 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-1 40 W
22/05 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 32 D
17/05 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 22 L
10/05 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-2 26 W
02/05 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 63 D
27/04 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
2-2 2-3 60 L
18/04 Roma
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-1 63 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Atalanta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus win (58%). Probabilities: Juventus 58%, draw 26%, Atalanta 17%.

How many goals are expected in Juventus vs Atalanta?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Juventus 1.49 · Atalanta 0.66), with a 61% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Atalanta?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.