Prediction: Fiorentina vs Napoli
Team pages: Fiorentina · Napoli
- Napoli2-1Fiorentina
- Fiorentina1-3Napoli
- Napoli2-1Fiorentina
- Fiorentina0-3Napoli
- Fiorentina2-2Napoli
- Napoli3-0Fiorentina
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Napoli: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fiorentina | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiorentina 0–1–5 Napoli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fiorentina |
| 13/09/25 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Napoli |
| 09/03/25 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fiorentina |
| 04/01/25 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Napoli |
| 17/05/24 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Napoli |
| 18/01/24 Italy Super Cup | Napoli | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fiorentina |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Udinese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiorentina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 04/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Napoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiorentina vs Napoli?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Napoli win (43%). Probabilities: Fiorentina 29%, draw 28%, Napoli 43%.
How many goals are expected in Fiorentina vs Napoli?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Fiorentina 1.19 · Napoli 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Napoli?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.