Football · Italy Serie A · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Udinese vs Cagliari

Team pages: Udinese · Cagliari

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Udinese1.23
Cagliari0.77
1X2
46% 31% 23%
Udinese Draw Cagliari
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Udinese 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLLDWL
Cagliari 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Udinese 3–3–0 Cagliari (6 last)
  • Cagliari0-2Udinese
  • Udinese1-1Cagliari
  • Cagliari1-2Udinese
  • Udinese2-0Cagliari
  • Udinese1-1Cagliari
  • Udinese1-1Cagliari
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udinese 1507 · Cagliari 1538
UdineseDrawCagliari
Our model46%32%22%
Market47%29%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Udinese: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UdineseCagliari
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.12 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.12.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Udinese 330 Cagliari

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Italy Serie A
Cagliari0-2
HT 0-0
Udinese
05/10/25
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-1
HT 0-1
Cagliari
03/05/25
Italy Serie A
Cagliari1-2
HT 1-1
Udinese
25/10/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese2-0
HT 1-0
Cagliari
18/02/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-1
HT 1-1
Cagliari
01/11/23
Coppa Italia
Udinese1-1
HT 0-0
Cagliari

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 4310 6310
2 Roma 3300 1019
3 Inter Milan 3300 839
4 Cagliari 4301 429
5 AC Milan 4220 748
6 Como 3210 737
7 Frosinone 4211 747
8 Juventus 3210 417
9 Atalanta 4202 556
10 Sassuolo 3111 554
10 Udinese 3111 554
12 Napoli 3102 553
13 Torino 3102 453
14 Lecce 3102 253
15 Fiorentina 4103 5113
16 Bologna 3012 241
17 Parma 3012 141
18 Monza 3012 481
19 Genoa 4013 281
20 Venezia 4004 4110

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUdineseCagliari
Torino 2-0 W 2-1 W
Parma 0-1 L 1-0 W
AC Milan 3-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Udinese (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udinese

WLDWWLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 26 L
29/08 Monza
Italy Serie A
3-1 3-2 31 W
22/08 Como
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 13 D
24/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 34 L
17/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 54 L
09/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 43 W
02/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 52 W
27/04 Lazio
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-3 54 D
18/04 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 102 L
11/04 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 32 W

Cagliari

LWDLWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 20 W
07/09 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 74 W
30/08 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 83 L
22/08 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 22 W
24/05 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 54 W
17/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
2-1 2-1 52 W
09/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 83 L
03/05 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/04 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
2-2 3-2 40 W
17/04 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-3 92 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udinese vs Cagliari?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Udinese win (46%). Probabilities: Udinese 46%, draw 31%, Cagliari 23%.

How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Cagliari?

The model expects 2 goals (Udinese 1.23 · Cagliari 0.77), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Cagliari?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.