Football · Italy Serie A · 11/10, 20:45

Prediction: Cagliari vs Juventus

Team pages: Cagliari · Juventus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Cagliari0.53
Juventus1.4
1X2
14% 27% 59%
Cagliari Draw Juventus
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-1 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Cagliari 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWWWLWWW
Juventus 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDWLDWWDLW
Head-to-head
Cagliari 1–2–3 Juventus (6 last)
  • Cagliari1-0Juventus
  • Juventus2-1Cagliari
  • Cagliari0-1Juventus
  • Juventus4-0Cagliari
  • Juventus1-1Cagliari
  • Cagliari2-2Juventus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cagliari 1560 · Juventus 1581
CagliariDrawJuventus
Our model13%30%58%
Market15%25%60%
Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Juventus: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CagliariJuventus
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.44.5 / 7.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cagliari 1–2–3 Juventus

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Italy Serie A
Cagliari1-0
HT 0-0
Juventus
29/11/25
Italy Serie A
Juventus2-1
HT 2-1
Cagliari
23/02/25
Italy Serie A
Cagliari0-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
17/12/24
Coppa Italia
Juventus4-0
HT 1-0
Cagliari
06/10/24
Italy Serie A
Juventus1-1
HT 1-0
Cagliari
19/04/24
Italy Serie A
Cagliari2-2
HT 2-0
Juventus

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 6510 18816
2 Roma 5410 14313
3 Lazio 5410 8313
4 Cagliari 5401 5212
5 AC Milan 5320 10411
6 Frosinone 5311 9410
7 Juventus 5311 8410
8 Como 5311 9610
9 Napoli 5212 767
10 Sassuolo 5212 997
11 Atalanta 5203 576
12 Lecce 5203 5106
13 Udinese 5113 8114
14 Torino 5113 584
15 Monza 5113 8124
16 Genoa 6114 5114
17 Parma 6114 4104
18 Fiorentina 6114 7144
19 Bologna 5023 362
20 Venezia 5005 4130

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCagliariJuventus
Atalanta 2-1 W 2-0 W
Lecce 1-0 W 1-0 W
Parma 1-0 W 2-0 W
AC Milan 2-1 W 1-1 D
Torino 2-1 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cagliari

WDLWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 12 W
12/09 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 20 W
07/09 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 74 W
30/08 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 83 L
22/08 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 22 W
24/05 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 54 W
17/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
2-1 2-1 52 W
09/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 83 L
03/05 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/04 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
2-2 3-2 40 W

Juventus

DDWLDWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 43 W
13/09 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-3 104 L
06/09 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-1 74 D
29/08 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 105 W
23/08 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 124 W
24/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-2 63 D
17/05 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 64 L
09/05 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 72 W
03/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 145 D
26/04 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cagliari vs Juventus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventus win (59%). Probabilities: Cagliari 14%, draw 27%, Juventus 59%.

How many goals are expected in Cagliari vs Juventus?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Cagliari 0.53 · Juventus 1.4), with a 60% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Juventus?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.