Prediction: Fiorentina vs Como
Team pages: Fiorentina · Como
- Como1-2Fiorentina
- Fiorentina1-3Como
- Fiorentina1-2Como
- Fiorentina0-2Como
- Como0-2Fiorentina
| Fiorentina | Draw | Como | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Como (rating 1484 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Como: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fiorentina | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 4 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiorentina 2–0–3 Como
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Italy Serie A | Como | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fiorentina |
| 27/01/26 Coppa Italia | Fiorentina | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Como |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Como |
| 16/02/25 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Como |
| 24/11/24 Italy Serie A | Como | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Fiorentina |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fiorentina | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Napoli | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Frosinone | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Roma | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Como (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiorentina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 04/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Como
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiorentina vs Como?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Como win (46%). Probabilities: Fiorentina 27%, draw 26%, Como 46%.
How many goals are expected in Fiorentina vs Como?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Fiorentina 1.22 · Como 1.66), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Como?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

