Football · Italy Serie A · 18/10, 12:30

Prediction: Udinese vs Lecce

Team pages: Udinese · Lecce

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Udinese1.76
Lecce1.1
1X2
51% 27% 22%
Udinese Draw Lecce
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Udinese 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWWLLDWLLL
Lecce 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWWLLWLL
Head-to-head
Udinese 4–1–1 Lecce (6 last)
  • Lecce2-1Udinese
  • Udinese3-2Lecce
  • Lecce0-1Udinese
  • Udinese1-0Lecce
  • Lecce0-2Udinese
  • Udinese1-1Lecce
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udinese 1524 · Lecce 1494
UdineseDrawLecce
Our model52%26%23%
Market51%28%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Udinese: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UdineseLecce
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.61.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.51.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.13.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Udinese 4–1–1 Lecce

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
Italy Serie A
Lecce2-1
HT 1-1
Udinese
25/10/25
Italy Serie A
Udinese3-2
HT 2-0
Lecce
21/02/25
Italy Serie A
Lecce0-1
HT 0-1
Udinese
05/10/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-0
HT 0-0
Lecce
13/05/24
Italy Serie A
Lecce0-2
HT 0-1
Udinese
23/10/23
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-1
HT 0-0
Lecce

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 6510 18816
2 Lazio 6510 11416
3 Roma 6420 14314
4 Cagliari 6411 6313
5 AC Milan 6330 11512
6 Juventus 6321 9511
7 Como 6321 9611
8 Napoli 6312 10610
9 Frosinone 6312 9710
10 Sassuolo 6222 10108
11 Atalanta 5203 576
12 Lecce 6204 6126
13 Bologna 6123 575
14 Udinese 5113 8114
15 Torino 5113 584
16 Monza 6114 9154
17 Genoa 6114 5114
18 Parma 6114 4104
19 Fiorentina 6114 7144
20 Venezia 5005 4130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUdineseLecce
Cagliari 0-1 L 0-1 L
Monza 3-2 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udinese

DWWLLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 162 L
14/09 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
2-2 3-5 12 L
07/09 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 26 L
29/08 Monza
Italy Serie A
3-1 3-2 31 W
22/08 Como
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 13 D
24/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 34 L
17/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 54 L
09/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 43 W
02/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 52 W
27/04 Lazio
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-3 54 D

Lecce

WLWWWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-2 105 L
20/09 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-3 31 L
13/09 Monza
Italy Serie A
3-1 3-2 42 W
07/09 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 54 L
31/08 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-3 0-4 22 L
23/08 Venezia
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 34 W
24/05 Genoa
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 12 W
17/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
2-1 3-2 85 W
09/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 12 L
01/05 Pisa
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udinese vs Lecce?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Udinese win (51%). Probabilities: Udinese 51%, draw 27%, Lecce 22%.

How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Lecce?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Udinese 1.76 · Lecce 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lecce?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.