Prediction: Roma vs Genoa
- Genoa2-1Roma
- Roma3-1Genoa
- Roma3-1Genoa
- Genoa1-1Roma
- Roma1-0Genoa
- Genoa4-1Roma
| Roma | Draw | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 68% | 21% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (rating 1610 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Roma: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.5 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma 3–1–2 Genoa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Roma |
| 29/12/25 Italy Serie A | Roma | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Genoa |
| 17/01/25 Italy Serie A | Roma | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Genoa |
| 15/09/24 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Roma |
| 19/05/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 28/09/23 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Roma |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Atalanta | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Lecce | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Fiorentina | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Lazio | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Parma | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 04/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma vs Genoa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma win (68%). Probabilities: Roma 68%, draw 20%, Genoa 11%.
How many goals are expected in Roma vs Genoa?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Roma 2.22 · Genoa 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma vs Genoa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.