Football · Italy Serie A · 18/10, 20:45
Prediction: Juventus vs Lazio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Juventus1.77
Lazio0.8
1X2
Juventus
Draw
Lazio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventus
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Lazio
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juventus
2–2–2
Lazio
(6 last)
- Juventus2-2Lazio
- Lazio1-0Juventus
- Lazio1-1Juventus
- Juventus1-0Lazio
- Lazio2-1Juventus
- Juventus2-0Lazio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juventus 1574 · Lazio 1597
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juventus | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 8.5 | 1.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus 2–2–2 Lazio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Lazio |
| 26/10/25 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Juventus |
| 10/05/25 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Juventus |
| 19/10/24 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lazio |
| 23/04/24 Coppa Italia | Lazio | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Juventus |
| 02/04/24 Coppa Italia | Juventus | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lazio |
Standings · Italy Serie A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juventus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
Lazio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Monza Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Lazio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus win (60%). Probabilities: Juventus 60%, draw 24%, Lazio 16%.
How many goals are expected in Juventus vs Lazio?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Juventus 1.77 · Lazio 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Juventus vs Lazio?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.