Football · Italy Serie A · 19/10, 20:45

Prediction: Parma vs Torino

Team pages: Parma · Torino

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Parma1.02
Torino1.25
1X2
29% 31% 40%
Parma Draw Torino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Parma 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLDLWL
Torino 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLDLLWLDW
Head-to-head
Parma 1–2–3 Torino (6 last)
  • Torino4-1Parma
  • Parma2-1Torino
  • Parma2-2Torino
  • Torino0-0Parma
  • Torino1-0Parma
  • Parma0-3Torino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parma 1422 · Torino 1493
ParmaDrawTorino
Our model29%31%40%
Market29%31%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torino (rating 1422 vs 1493).
  • H2H favours Torino: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ParmaTorino
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.61.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.70.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.71.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.12.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Parma 1–2–3 Torino

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
Italy Serie A
Torino4-1
HT 1-1
Parma
29/09/25
Italy Serie A
Parma2-1
HT 1-0
Torino
08/03/25
Italy Serie A
Parma2-2
HT 0-1
Torino
05/01/25
Italy Serie A
Torino0-0
HT 0-0
Parma
03/05/21
Italy Serie A
Torino1-0
HT 0-0
Parma
03/01/21
Italy Serie A
Parma0-3
HT 0-1
Torino

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 7610 21919
2 Roma 7520 16317
3 Lazio 6510 11416
4 Frosinone 7412 13913
5 Cagliari 6411 6313
6 AC Milan 6330 11512
7 Juventus 6321 9511
8 Como 6321 9611
9 Napoli 7313 10710
10 Atalanta 6303 889
11 Sassuolo 7223 12148
12 Torino 6213 797
13 Lecce 6204 6126
14 Bologna 7124 6105
15 Udinese 6114 9134
16 Monza 6114 9154
17 Parma 6114 4104
18 Fiorentina 6114 7144
19 Genoa 7115 5134
20 Venezia 7106 6163

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentParmaTorino
Juventus 0-2 L 2-2 D
Cagliari 0-1 L 1-2 L
Sassuolo 1-0 W 1-2 L
Roma 2-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Parma (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parma

LLLWLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-3 0-3 10 L
20/09 Genoa
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-1 26 W
14/09 Como
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-2 41 L
06/09 Monza
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 64 D
29/08 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 25 L
22/08 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 32 L
24/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 14 W
17/05 Como
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 22 L
10/05 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-3 34 L
03/05 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 31 L

Torino

LWLDLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/10 Udinese
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 41 W
19/09 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 63 D
14/09 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 12 L
05/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 50 W
29/08 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 21 L
24/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 63 D
17/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 12 L
08/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 76 W
02/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parma vs Torino?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Torino win (40%). Probabilities: Parma 29%, draw 31%, Torino 40%.

How many goals are expected in Parma vs Torino?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Parma 1.02 · Torino 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Parma vs Torino?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.