Prediction: AC Milan vs Atalanta
Team pages: AC Milan · Atalanta
- AC Milan2-3Atalanta
- Atalanta1-1AC Milan
- AC Milan0-1Atalanta
- Atalanta2-1AC Milan
- AC Milan1-1Atalanta
- AC Milan1-2Atalanta
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Atalanta: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Milan | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Milan 0–2–4 Atalanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Atalanta |
| 28/10/25 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 1-1 HT 1-1 | AC Milan |
| 20/04/25 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atalanta |
| 06/12/24 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1 HT 1-1 | AC Milan |
| 25/02/24 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atalanta |
| 10/01/24 Coppa Italia | AC Milan | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Atalanta |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Milan | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Juventus | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Cagliari | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Genoa | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Milan (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Atalanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Milan vs Atalanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Milan win (49%). Probabilities: AC Milan 49%, draw 28%, Atalanta 23%.
How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Atalanta?
The model expects 2.47 goals (AC Milan 1.51 · Atalanta 0.96), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Atalanta?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.