Football · Italy Serie A · 11/10, 12:30

Prediction: Como vs Roma

Team pages: Como · Roma

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Como1.42
Roma1.41
1X2
37% 27% 36%
Como Draw Roma
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Como 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDWWWL
Roma 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWWD
Head-to-head
Como 2–2 Roma (4 last)
  • Como2-1Roma
  • Roma1-0Como
  • Roma2-1Como
  • Como2-0Roma
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Como 1581 · Roma 1608
ComoDrawRoma
Our model37%27%36%
Market37%27%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ComoRoma
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.72.7 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.51.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 7.23 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.13.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Como 2–0–2 Roma

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Italy Serie A
Como2-1
HT 0-1
Roma
15/12/25
Italy Serie A
Roma1-0
HT 0-0
Como
02/03/25
Italy Serie A
Roma2-1
HT 0-1
Como
15/12/24
Italy Serie A
Como2-0
HT 0-0
Roma

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Roma 5410 14313
2 Inter Milan 5410 15813
3 Lazio 5410 8313
4 Cagliari 5401 5212
5 AC Milan 5320 10411
6 Frosinone 5311 9410
7 Juventus 5311 8410
8 Como 5311 9610
9 Napoli 5212 767
10 Sassuolo 5212 997
11 Atalanta 5203 576
12 Lecce 5203 5106
13 Udinese 5113 8114
14 Torino 5113 584
15 Parma 5113 474
16 Monza 5113 8124
17 Fiorentina 5113 6124
18 Bologna 5023 362
19 Genoa 5014 3101
20 Venezia 5005 4130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentComoRoma
Parma 2-1 W 3-2 W
Verona 1-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Roma (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Como

WDWWWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-2 85 L
14/09 Parma
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-1 111 W
04/09 Genoa
Italy Serie A
3-1 4-1 43 W
30/08 Napoli
Italy Serie A
2-1 2-1 71 W
22/08 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 103 D
24/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
1-0 4-1 47 W
17/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 152 W
10/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 72 W
02/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 32 D
26/04 Genoa
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 34 W

Roma

WWWWWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
2-0 2-2 46 D
14/09 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 82 W
05/09 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 141 W
31/08 Lecce
Italy Serie A
3-0 4-0 12 W
24/08 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
1-0 4-0 24 W
24/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 64 W
17/05 Lazio
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 87 W
10/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-2 64 W
04/05 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
3-0 4-0 44 W
25/04 Bologna
Italy Serie A
2-0 2-0 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Como vs Roma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Como win (37%). Probabilities: Como 37%, draw 27%, Roma 36%.

How many goals are expected in Como vs Roma?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Como 1.42 · Roma 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Como vs Roma?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.