Prediction: Genoa vs Fiorentina
Team pages: Genoa · Fiorentina
- Fiorentina0-0Genoa
- Genoa2-2Fiorentina
- Fiorentina2-1Genoa
- Genoa0-1Fiorentina
- Fiorentina1-1Genoa
- Genoa1-4Fiorentina
| Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 29% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiorentina (rating 1416 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Fiorentina: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Genoa | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genoa 0–3–3 Fiorentina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 09/11/25 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Fiorentina |
| 02/02/25 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Genoa |
| 31/10/24 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fiorentina |
| 15/04/24 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Genoa |
| 19/08/23 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Fiorentina |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Genoa | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Napoli | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Atalanta | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 04/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Fiorentina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 04/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genoa vs Fiorentina?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fiorentina win (40%). Probabilities: Genoa 31%, draw 29%, Fiorentina 40%.
How many goals are expected in Genoa vs Fiorentina?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Genoa 1.19 · Fiorentina 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Fiorentina?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.