Prediction: Inter Milan vs Parma
Team pages: Inter Milan · Parma
- Inter Milan2-0Parma
- Parma0-2Inter Milan
- Parma2-2Inter Milan
- Inter Milan3-1Parma
- Inter Milan1-1Parma
- Parma0-2Inter Milan
| Inter Milan | Draw | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 84% | 11% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (rating 1601 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Inter Milan: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Milan | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Milan 4–2–0 Parma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Parma |
| 07/01/26 Italy Serie A | Parma | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Inter Milan |
| 05/04/25 Italy Serie A | Parma | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Inter Milan |
| 06/12/24 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Parma |
| 10/01/23 Coppa Italia | Inter Milan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Parma |
| 08/08/21 Elite Club Friendlies | Parma | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Inter Milan |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Milan | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Roma | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Cagliari | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Monza | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Milan (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 5-3 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Monza Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Parma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Milan vs Parma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Milan win (83%). Probabilities: Inter Milan 83%, draw 12%, Parma 5%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Milan vs Parma?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Inter Milan 2.49 · Parma 0.49), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Milan vs Parma?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.