Prediction: Sassuolo vs AC Milan
Team pages: Sassuolo · AC Milan
- Sassuolo2-0AC Milan
- AC Milan2-2Sassuolo
- AC Milan6-1Sassuolo
- Sassuolo3-3AC Milan
- AC Milan1-0Sassuolo
- AC Milan2-5Sassuolo
| Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 26% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sassuolo | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sassuolo 2–2–2 AC Milan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AC Milan |
| 14/12/25 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Sassuolo |
| 03/12/24 Coppa Italia | AC Milan | 6-1 HT 4-0 | Sassuolo |
| 14/04/24 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 3-3 HT 2-1 | AC Milan |
| 30/12/23 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sassuolo |
| 29/01/23 Italy Serie A | AC Milan | 2-5 HT 1-3 | Sassuolo |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 19 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sassuolo | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Torino | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Atalanta | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Lecce | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sassuolo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
AC Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Milan win (53%). Probabilities: Sassuolo 21%, draw 26%, AC Milan 53%.
How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Sassuolo 1.14 · AC Milan 1.88), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.