Prediction: Genoa vs Juventus
- Juventus2-0Genoa
- Genoa0-1Juventus
- Juventus1-0Genoa
- Genoa0-3Juventus
- Juventus0-0Genoa
- Genoa1-1Juventus
| Genoa | Draw | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 27% | 56% |
| Market | 17% | 26% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (rating 1442 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Juventus: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Genoa | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 4 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genoa 0–2–4 Juventus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Genoa |
| 31/08/25 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Juventus |
| 29/03/25 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Genoa |
| 28/09/24 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Juventus |
| 17/03/24 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 15/12/23 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Juventus |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Genoa | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Parma | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Frosinone | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Lazio | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Lecce | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| AC Milan | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Juventus (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 04/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genoa vs Juventus?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventus win (57%). Probabilities: Genoa 17%, draw 26%, Juventus 57%.
How many goals are expected in Genoa vs Juventus?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Genoa 0.77 · Juventus 1.62), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Juventus?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.