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Football · Italy Serie A · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Torino vs Como

Team pages: Torino · Como

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Torino1.22
Como2.01
1X2
21% 25% 54%
Torino Draw Como
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Torino 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLLWLDWW
Como 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWLDW
Head-to-head
Torino 1–3 Como (4 last)
  • Como6-0Torino
  • Torino1-5Como
  • Como1-0Torino
  • Torino1-0Como
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torino 1477 · Como 1613
TorinoDrawComo
Our model22%23%55%
Market21%26%53%
Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Como (rating 1477 vs 1613).
  • H2H favours Como: 3-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TorinoComo
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.41.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.74.2 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 03.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torino 1–0–3 Como

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/01/26
Italy Serie A
Como6-0
HT 2-0
Torino
24/11/25
Italy Serie A
Torino1-5
HT 1-1
Como
13/04/25
Italy Serie A
Como1-0
HT 1-0
Torino
25/10/24
Italy Serie A
Torino1-0
HT 0-0
Como

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 7610 21919
2 Lazio 7610 14419
3 Roma 7520 16317
4 AC Milan 7430 14715
5 Como 7421 12714
6 Frosinone 7412 13913
7 Cagliari 7412 6713
8 Juventus 7322 9811
9 Napoli 7313 10710
10 Torino 7313 10910
11 Atalanta 7304 10119
12 Lecce 7304 9129
13 Sassuolo 7223 12148
14 Monza 7214 13157
15 Bologna 7124 6105
16 Udinese 7115 9164
17 Genoa 7115 5134
18 Fiorentina 7115 8174
19 Parma 7115 4134
20 Venezia 7106 6163

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTorinoComo
Parma 3-0 W 2-1 W
Udinese 2-1 W 1-1 D
Roma 0-2 L 0-0 D
Fiorentina 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torino

WLDLLWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 Parma
Italy Serie A
 2-0 3-0 25 W
12/10 Udinese
Italy Serie A
 1-1 2-1 41 W
19/09 Bologna
Italy Serie A
 0-1 1-1 63 D
14/09 Roma
Italy Serie A
 0-1 0-2 12 L
05/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
 0-0 2-1 50 W
29/08 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
 1-1 1-2 34 L
23/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-2 21 L
24/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
 0-1 2-2 63 D
17/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
 1-2 1-2 12 L
08/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
 0-0 2-1 76 W

Como

WWWDWWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
 2-1 3-1 54 W
11/10 Roma
Italy Serie A
 0-0 0-0 66 D
20/09 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
 0-2 0-2 85 L
14/09 Parma
Italy Serie A
 1-0 2-1 111 W
04/09 Genoa
Italy Serie A
 3-1 4-1 43 W
30/08 Napoli
Italy Serie A
 2-1 2-1 71 W
22/08 Udinese
Italy Serie A
 0-1 1-1 103 D
24/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
 1-0 4-1 47 W
17/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-0 152 W
10/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-0 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torino vs Como?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Como win (54%). Probabilities: Torino 21%, draw 25%, Como 54%.

How many goals are expected in Torino vs Como?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Torino 1.22 · Como 2.01), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Torino vs Como?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.