Prediction: Parma vs Udinese
- Udinese0-1Parma
- Parma0-2Udinese
- Udinese1-0Parma
- Parma2-3Udinese
- Parma2-2Udinese
- Udinese3-2Parma
| Parma | Draw | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 31% | 29% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udinese (rating 1415 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Udinese: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parma | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parma 1–1–4 Udinese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Italy Serie A | Udinese | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Parma |
| 29/11/25 Italy Serie A | Parma | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Udinese |
| 01/03/25 Italy Serie A | Udinese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Parma |
| 16/09/24 Italy Serie A | Parma | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Udinese |
| 21/02/21 Italy Serie A | Parma | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Udinese |
| 18/10/20 Italy Serie A | Udinese | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Parma |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parma | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| Torino | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Inter Milan | 0-3 L | 3-5 L |
| Como | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Monza | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Cagliari | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Udinese (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Udinese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/10 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 14/09 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Monza Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parma vs Udinese?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Udinese win (39%). Probabilities: Parma 31%, draw 30%, Udinese 39%.
How many goals are expected in Parma vs Udinese?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Parma 1.04 · Udinese 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Parma vs Udinese?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

