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Football · Italy Serie A · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Como vs Sassuolo

Team pages: Como · Sassuolo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Como2.19
Sassuolo0.93
1X2
66% 20% 14%
Como Draw Sassuolo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Como 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWDWWWLD
Sassuolo 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWDWLDL
Head-to-head
Como 2–1 Sassuolo (3 last)
  • Sassuolo2-1Como
  • Como2-0Sassuolo
  • Como3-0Sassuolo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Como 1566 · Sassuolo 1464
ComoDrawSassuolo
Our model65%21%14%
Market66%20%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Como (rating 1566 vs 1464).
  • H2H favours Como: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ComoSassuolo
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.71.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 7.51.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.23.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Como 2–0–1 Sassuolo

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/26
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo2-1
HT 2-1
Como
28/11/25
Italy Serie A
Como2-0
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
24/09/25
Coppa Italia
Como3-0
HT 3-0
Sassuolo

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 7610 21919
2 Roma 7520 16317
3 Lazio 6510 11416
4 Como 7421 12714
5 Frosinone 7412 13913
6 Cagliari 6411 6313
7 AC Milan 6330 11512
8 Juventus 6321 9511
9 Napoli 7313 10710
10 Atalanta 6303 889
11 Lecce 7304 9129
12 Sassuolo 7223 12148
13 Torino 6213 797
14 Bologna 7124 6105
15 Monza 6114 9154
16 Parma 6114 4104
17 Udinese 7115 9164
18 Genoa 7115 5134
19 Fiorentina 7115 8174
20 Venezia 7106 6163

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentComoSassuolo
Frosinone 0-2 L 2-4 L
Parma 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Como (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Como

DWWWDWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Roma
Italy Serie A
 0-0 0-0 66 D
20/09 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
 0-2 0-2 85 L
14/09 Parma
Italy Serie A
 1-0 2-1 111 W
04/09 Genoa
Italy Serie A
 3-1 4-1 43 W
30/08 Napoli
Italy Serie A
 2-1 2-1 71 W
22/08 Udinese
Italy Serie A
 0-1 1-1 103 D
24/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
 1-0 4-1 47 W
17/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-0 152 W
10/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-0 72 W
02/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
 0-0 0-0 32 D

Sassuolo

LLLLWDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
 2-3 2-4 41 L
11/10 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-1 35 D
18/09 Monza
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-2 55 L
13/09 Juventus
Italy Serie A
 0-0 3-2 34 W
06/09 Bologna
Italy Serie A
 1-0 2-2 74 D
29/08 Torino
Italy Serie A
 1-1 2-1 44 W
23/08 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
 0-1 1-2 40 L
24/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
 0-0 0-1 14 L
17/05 Lecce
Italy Serie A
 1-2 2-3 25 L
08/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
 0-0 1-2 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Como vs Sassuolo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Como win (66%). Probabilities: Como 66%, draw 20%, Sassuolo 14%.

How many goals are expected in Como vs Sassuolo?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Como 2.19 · Sassuolo 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Como vs Sassuolo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.