Prediction: Lazio vs Cagliari
- Cagliari0-0Lazio
- Lazio2-0Cagliari
- Cagliari1-2Lazio
- Lazio2-1Cagliari
- Cagliari1-3Lazio
- Lazio1-0Cagliari
| Lazio | Draw | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (rating 1616 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Lazio: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lazio | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 1.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lazio 5–1–0 Cagliari
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lazio |
| 03/11/25 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cagliari |
| 03/02/25 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lazio |
| 04/11/24 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Cagliari |
| 10/02/24 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Lazio |
| 02/12/23 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cagliari |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lazio | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Parma | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Juventus | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Monza | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| AC Milan | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Udinese | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Bologna | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lazio (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lazio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
4-2 | 6-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Monza Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Cagliari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Roma Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/10 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 07/09 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lazio vs Cagliari?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lazio win (65%). Probabilities: Lazio 65%, draw 22%, Cagliari 13%.
How many goals are expected in Lazio vs Cagliari?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Lazio 1.9 · Cagliari 0.72), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lazio vs Cagliari?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.