Prediction: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
Team pages: Sassuolo · Fiorentina
- Fiorentina0-0Sassuolo
- Sassuolo3-1Fiorentina
- Fiorentina5-1Sassuolo
- Sassuolo1-0Fiorentina
- Sassuolo1-3Fiorentina
- Fiorentina2-1Sassuolo
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Fiorentina: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sassuolo | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 1.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sassuolo 2–1–3 Fiorentina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sassuolo |
| 06/12/25 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Fiorentina |
| 28/04/24 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Sassuolo |
| 06/01/24 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fiorentina |
| 02/06/23 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Fiorentina |
| 07/01/23 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sassuolo |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sassuolo | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Frosinone | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Juventus | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Torino | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Atalanta | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sassuolo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/10 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Fiorentina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fiorentina win (40%). Probabilities: Sassuolo 34%, draw 26%, Fiorentina 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Sassuolo 1.52 · Fiorentina 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.