Football · Italy Serie A · 01/11, 20:45

Prediction: Juventus vs Napoli

Team pages: Juventus · Napoli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Juventus1.54
Napoli1.23
1X2
43% 27% 29%
Juventus Draw Napoli
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventus 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWDLWDLW
Napoli 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDWLDW
Head-to-head
Juventus 2–1–3 Napoli (6 last)
  • Juventus3-0Napoli
  • Napoli2-1Juventus
  • Napoli2-1Juventus
  • Juventus0-0Napoli
  • Napoli2-1Juventus
  • Juventus1-0Napoli
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventus 1526 · Napoli 1522
JuventusDrawNapoli
Our model43%27%29%
Market43%27%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Napoli: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JuventusNapoli
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 7.22.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.12.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus 2–1–3 Napoli

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Italy Serie A
Juventus3-0
HT 1-0
Napoli
07/12/25
Italy Serie A
Napoli2-1
HT 1-0
Juventus
25/01/25
Italy Serie A
Napoli2-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
21/09/24
Italy Serie A
Juventus0-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
03/03/24
Italy Serie A
Napoli2-1
HT 1-0
Juventus
08/12/23
Italy Serie A
Juventus1-0
HT 0-0
Napoli

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 9810 251025
2 Lazio 9810 22725
3 Roma 9630 23821
4 Como 9621 17820
5 AC Milan 9531 181118
6 Napoli 9423 171114
7 Frosinone 8422 171314
8 Juventus 9423 111014
9 Torino 9414 141413
10 Cagliari 9414 81313
11 Bologna 9324 121211
12 Atalanta 8314 141510
13 Genoa 9315 81310
14 Lecce 8305 9149
15 Sassuolo 9225 14228
16 Monza 9216 16227
17 Udinese 9126 9185
18 Parma 9126 5155
19 Fiorentina 8116 9194
20 Venezia 9108 6193

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJuventusNapoli
Frosinone 1-0 W 3-0 W
Fiorentina 0-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Napoli (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus

LDWWDLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Lecce
Italy Serie A
2-0 2-0 32 W
18/10 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-3 52 L
11/10 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 93 D
20/09 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 43 W
13/09 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-3 104 L
06/09 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-1 74 D
29/08 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 105 W
23/08 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 124 W
24/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-2 63 D
17/05 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 64 L

Napoli

WWLLWDWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/10 Monza
Italy Serie A
1-1 4-1 23 W
24/10 Roma
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-3 25 D
17/10 Venezia
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 122 L
10/10 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 62 W
20/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 53 D
13/09 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 101 W
05/09 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-3 53 L
30/08 Como
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 21 L
22/08 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 51 W
24/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Napoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus win (43%). Probabilities: Juventus 43%, draw 27%, Napoli 29%.

How many goals are expected in Juventus vs Napoli?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Juventus 1.54 · Napoli 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Napoli?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.