Football · Italy Serie A · 07/11, 20:45
Prediction: Roma vs Sassuolo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Roma2.42
Sassuolo1.13
1X2
Roma
Draw
Sassuolo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Roma
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Sassuolo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Roma
4–1–1
Sassuolo
(6 last)
- Roma2-0Sassuolo
- Sassuolo0-1Roma
- Roma1-0Sassuolo
- Sassuolo1-2Roma
- Roma3-4Sassuolo
- Sassuolo1-1Roma
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (rating 1596 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Roma: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma 4–1–1 Sassuolo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Italy Serie A | Roma | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sassuolo |
| 26/10/25 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Roma |
| 17/03/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sassuolo |
| 03/12/23 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Roma |
| 12/03/23 Italy Serie A | Roma | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Sassuolo |
| 09/11/22 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Roma |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Torino | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Atalanta | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
4-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/10 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Sassuolo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/10 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma vs Sassuolo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma win (65%). Probabilities: Roma 65%, draw 20%, Sassuolo 15%.
How many goals are expected in Roma vs Sassuolo?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Roma 2.42 · Sassuolo 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma vs Sassuolo?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.