Prediction: Cagliari vs Frosinone
Team pages: Cagliari · Frosinone
- Cagliari4-1Frosinone
- Frosinone3-1Cagliari
- Cagliari4-3Frosinone
- Cagliari0-0Frosinone
- Frosinone2-2Cagliari
- Cagliari1-0Frosinone
| Cagliari | Draw | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frosinone (rating 1473 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Cagliari: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cagliari 3–2–1 Frosinone
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 Coppa Italia | Cagliari | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Frosinone |
| 21/01/24 Italy Serie A | Frosinone | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Cagliari |
| 29/10/23 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Frosinone |
| 15/04/23 Italy Serie B | Cagliari | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Frosinone |
| 27/11/22 Italy Serie B | Frosinone | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Cagliari |
| 20/04/19 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Frosinone |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 20 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cagliari | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Atalanta | 2-1 W | 4-4 D |
| Lecce | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cagliari (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cagliari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/10 | Roma Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/10 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 07/09 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frosinone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/10 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 5-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
2-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/10 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
3-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/10 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cagliari vs Frosinone?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Frosinone win (38%). Probabilities: Cagliari 35%, draw 27%, Frosinone 38%.
How many goals are expected in Cagliari vs Frosinone?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Cagliari 1.49 · Frosinone 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Frosinone?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.