Football · Italy Serie A · 06/11, 20:45

Prediction: Venezia vs Udinese

Team pages: Venezia · Udinese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Venezia1.49
Udinese1.2
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Venezia Draw Udinese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Venezia 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWLLL
Udinese 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DWLLLLLLDL
Head-to-head
Venezia 2–4 Udinese (6 last)
  • Udinese2-1Venezia
  • Udinese3-2Venezia
  • Venezia3-2Udinese
  • Venezia1-2Udinese
  • Udinese3-0Venezia
  • Udinese0-1Venezia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Venezia 1414 · Udinese 1420
VeneziaDrawUdinese
Our model43%28%29%
Market43%27%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Udinese: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VeneziaUdinese
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 21.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.90.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 41.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.12.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Venezia 2–0–4 Udinese

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/09/26
Coppa Italia
Udinese2-1
HT 1-1
Venezia
01/02/25
Italy Serie A
Udinese3-2
HT 0-0
Venezia
30/10/24
Italy Serie A
Venezia3-2
HT 1-2
Udinese
10/04/22
Italy Serie A
Venezia1-2
HT 0-1
Udinese
27/08/21
Italy Serie A
Udinese3-0
HT 1-0
Venezia
13/09/20
Club Friendly List
Udinese0-1
HT 0-1
Venezia

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 9810 22725
2 Inter Milan 10811 261325
3 Roma 10730 281024
4 AC Milan 10631 211221
5 Como 9621 17820
6 Frosinone 9522 221417
7 Napoli 9423 171114
8 Bologna 10424 141314
9 Juventus 9423 111014
10 Torino 9414 141413
11 Cagliari 9414 81313
12 Atalanta 9324 161711
13 Genoa 9315 81310
14 Lecce 9306 10199
15 Sassuolo 9225 14228
16 Monza 10217 17247
17 Fiorentina 9126 11215
18 Parma 9126 5155
19 Udinese 10127 11235
20 Venezia 9108 6193

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVeneziaUdinese
Como 0-1 L 1-1 D
Inter Milan 0-2 L 3-5 L
Lazio 0-2 L 1-2 L
AC Milan 0-2 L 0-2 L
Lecce 0-2 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 5 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Udinese (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Venezia

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Como
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 13 L
28/10 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 32 L
25/10 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 101 L
17/10 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 02 W
12/10 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-3 1-3 73 L
19/09 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 76 L
11/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
1-2 2-4 23 L
06/09 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
0-2 2-3 26 L
28/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 34 L
23/08 Lecce
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 54 L

Udinese

DWLLLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-4 2-5 72 L
28/10 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 63 D
25/10 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 53 L
18/10 Lecce
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-3 11 L
12/10 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-2 31 L
19/09 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 162 L
14/09 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
2-2 3-5 12 L
07/09 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 26 L
29/08 Monza
Italy Serie A
3-1 3-2 31 W
22/08 Como
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 13 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Venezia vs Udinese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Venezia win (43%). Probabilities: Venezia 43%, draw 27%, Udinese 30%.

How many goals are expected in Venezia vs Udinese?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Venezia 1.49 · Udinese 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Venezia vs Udinese?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.