Football · Italy Serie A · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Torino vs Lecce

Team pages: Torino · Lecce

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Torino1.63
Lecce0.96
1X2
52% 28% 21%
Torino Draw Lecce
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Torino 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLDWWWLL
Lecce 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLLWLL
Head-to-head
Torino 3–1–2 Lecce (6 last)
  • Torino1-0Lecce
  • Lecce2-1Torino
  • Lecce1-0Torino
  • Torino0-0Lecce
  • Torino2-0Lecce
  • Lecce0-1Torino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torino 1477 · Lecce 1459
TorinoDrawLecce
Our model52%27%21%
Market51%28%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Torino: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TorinoLecce
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.61.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.81.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 02.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torino 3–1–2 Lecce

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Italy Serie A
Torino1-0
HT 1-0
Lecce
30/11/25
Italy Serie A
Lecce2-1
HT 2-0
Torino
18/05/25
Italy Serie A
Lecce1-0
HT 0-0
Torino
15/09/24
Italy Serie A
Torino0-0
HT 0-0
Lecce
16/02/24
Italy Serie A
Torino2-0
HT 0-0
Lecce
28/10/23
Italy Serie A
Lecce0-1
HT 0-1
Torino

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 9810 22725
2 Inter Milan 10811 261325
3 Roma 10730 281024
4 AC Milan 10631 211221
5 Como 9621 17820
6 Frosinone 9522 221417
7 Napoli 9423 171114
8 Bologna 10424 141314
9 Juventus 9423 111014
10 Torino 9414 141413
11 Cagliari 9414 81313
12 Atalanta 9324 161711
13 Genoa 9315 81310
14 Lecce 9306 10199
15 Sassuolo 9225 14228
16 Monza 10217 17247
17 Fiorentina 9126 11215
18 Parma 9126 5155
19 Udinese 10127 11235
20 Venezia 9108 6193

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTorinoLecce
Frosinone 0-2 L 1-5 L
Monza 3-2 W 3-2 W
Udinese 2-1 W 3-0 W
Bologna 1-1 D 1-2 L
Roma 0-2 L 0-4 L
AC Milan 1-2 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Torino (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torino

LLWLDWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 74 L
27/10 Como
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-3 51 L
23/10 Monza
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-2 31 W
19/10 Parma
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 25 W
12/10 Udinese
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 41 W
19/09 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 63 D
14/09 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 12 L
05/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 50 W
29/08 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 21 L

Lecce

WWLLWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/10 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
0-2 1-5 33 L
25/10 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-2 52 L
18/10 Udinese
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 41 W
11/10 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-2 105 L
20/09 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-3 31 L
13/09 Monza
Italy Serie A
3-1 3-2 42 W
07/09 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 54 L
31/08 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-3 0-4 22 L
23/08 Venezia
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 34 W
24/05 Genoa
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torino vs Lecce?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torino win (52%). Probabilities: Torino 52%, draw 28%, Lecce 21%.

How many goals are expected in Torino vs Lecce?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Torino 1.63 · Lecce 0.96), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Torino vs Lecce?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.