Prediction: Parma vs Bologna
- Bologna0-1Parma
- Bologna2-1Parma
- Parma1-3Bologna
- Parma2-0Bologna
- Bologna0-0Parma
- Parma0-3Bologna
| Parma | Draw | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 29% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 27% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bologna (rating 1416 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Bologna: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parma | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parma 2–1–3 Bologna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Parma |
| 04/12/25 Coppa Italia | Bologna | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Parma |
| 02/11/25 Italy Serie A | Parma | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Bologna |
| 22/02/25 Italy Serie A | Parma | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bologna |
| 06/10/24 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Parma |
| 07/02/21 Italy Serie A | Parma | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Bologna |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parma | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Torino | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Inter Milan | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Monza | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Cagliari | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Sassuolo | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bologna (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/10 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Monza Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 28/10 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parma vs Bologna?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bologna win (52%). Probabilities: Parma 20%, draw 28%, Bologna 52%.
How many goals are expected in Parma vs Bologna?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Parma 0.86 · Bologna 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Parma vs Bologna?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.