Prediction: Fiorentina vs Juventus
Team pages: Fiorentina · Juventus
- Juventus0-2Fiorentina
- Fiorentina1-1Juventus
- Fiorentina3-0Juventus
- Juventus2-2Fiorentina
- Juventus1-0Fiorentina
- Fiorentina0-1Juventus
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 29% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (rating 1475 vs 1549).
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fiorentina | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 4.4 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiorentina 2–2–2 Juventus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Fiorentina |
| 22/11/25 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Juventus |
| 16/03/25 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Juventus |
| 29/12/24 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Fiorentina |
| 07/04/24 Italy Serie A | Juventus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fiorentina |
| 05/11/23 Italy Serie A | Fiorentina | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Juventus |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fiorentina | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Atalanta | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Genoa | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Napoli | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Frosinone | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Juventus (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiorentina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/10 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 28/10 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventus win (43%). Probabilities: Fiorentina 29%, draw 28%, Juventus 43%.
How many goals are expected in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Fiorentina 1.28 · Juventus 1.6), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Juventus?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.