Football · Italy Serie A · 08/11, 18:00

Prediction: Inter Milan vs Como

Team pages: Inter Milan · Como

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Inter Milan2.01
Como1.56
1X2
48% 23% 29%
Inter Milan Draw Como
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Milan 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWWWWL
Como 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWLDWWWW
Head-to-head
Inter Milan 5–1–0 Como (6 last)
  • Inter Milan3-2Como
  • Como3-4Inter Milan
  • Como0-0Inter Milan
  • Inter Milan4-0Como
  • Como0-2Inter Milan
  • Inter Milan2-0Como
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Milan 1618 · Como 1576
Inter MilanDrawComo
Our model48%23%29%
Market48%23%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (rating 1618 vs 1576).
  • H2H favours Inter Milan: 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter MilanComo
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.31.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.90.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.33.7 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 03 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Milan 5–1–0 Como

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/04/26
Coppa Italia
Inter Milan3-2
HT 0-1
Como
12/04/26
Italy Serie A
Como3-4
HT 2-1
Inter Milan
03/03/26
Coppa Italia
Como0-0
HT 0-0
Inter Milan
06/12/25
Italy Serie A
Inter Milan4-0
HT 1-0
Como
23/05/25
Italy Serie A
Como0-2
HT 0-1
Inter Milan
23/12/24
Italy Serie A
Inter Milan2-0
HT 0-0
Como

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 10910 24828
2 Roma 11830 311027
3 Inter Milan 10811 261325
4 Como 10721 18823
5 AC Milan 10631 211221
6 Frosinone 11623 241520
7 Juventus 10523 131017
8 Bologna 11524 161417
9 Cagliari 11515 101516
10 Napoli 10424 171314
11 Torino 11425 151714
12 Genoa 10415 101413
13 Atalanta 10325 162011
14 Lecce 11317 122210
15 Fiorentina 10226 15238
16 Parma 11227 9178
17 Sassuolo 11227 16298
18 Monza 10217 17247
19 Venezia 11209 8216
20 Udinese 11128 12255

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter MilanComo
Venezia 2-0 W 1-0 W
Fiorentina 2-1 W 3-1 W
Parma 3-0 W 2-1 W
Roma 2-2 D 0-0 D
Udinese 5-3 W 1-1 D
Napoli 3-2 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 0 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Milan (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Milan

WWWWDWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
1-3 1-3 113 L
28/10 Venezia
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 62 W
25/10 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 62 W
17/10 Bologna
Italy Serie A
1-1 3-1 67 W
10/10 Parma
Italy Serie A
3-0 3-0 30 W
19/09 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-2 2-2 26 D
14/09 Udinese
Italy Serie A
2-2 5-3 102 W
05/09 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 3-2 103 W
30/08 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 63 W
22/08 Monza
Italy Serie A
1-1 4-1 34 W

Como

DWWWLDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Venezia
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 83 W
27/10 Torino
Italy Serie A
0-1 3-1 61 W
24/10 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 64 W
18/10 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
2-1 3-1 54 W
11/10 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 66 D
20/09 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-2 85 L
14/09 Parma
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-1 111 W
04/09 Genoa
Italy Serie A
3-1 4-1 43 W
30/08 Napoli
Italy Serie A
2-1 2-1 71 W
22/08 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 103 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Milan vs Como?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Milan win (48%). Probabilities: Inter Milan 48%, draw 23%, Como 29%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Milan vs Como?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Inter Milan 2.01 · Como 1.56), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Milan vs Como?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.