Prediction: Monza vs Atalanta
- Atalanta2-1Monza
- Monza0-4Atalanta
- Atalanta2-0Monza
- Monza1-2Atalanta
- Atalanta3-0Monza
- Atalanta5-2Monza
| Monza | Draw | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Atalanta: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monza | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.4 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monza 0–0–6 Atalanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 Club Friendly List | Atalanta | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Monza |
| 04/05/25 Italy Serie A | Monza | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Atalanta |
| 30/10/24 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Monza |
| 21/04/24 Italy Serie A | Monza | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Atalanta |
| 02/09/23 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Monza |
| 04/06/23 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Monza |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monza | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Cagliari | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sassuolo | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 28/10 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/10 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/10 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Atalanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
3-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/10 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monza vs Atalanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atalanta win (46%). Probabilities: Monza 29%, draw 25%, Atalanta 46%.
How many goals are expected in Monza vs Atalanta?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Monza 1.64 · Atalanta 2.08), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Monza vs Atalanta?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.