Prediction: Udinese vs Roma
- Udinese1-0Roma
- Roma2-0Udinese
- Udinese1-2Roma
- Roma3-0Udinese
- Udinese1-2Roma
- Udinese1-2Roma
| Udinese | Draw | Roma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 25% | 58% |
| Market | 18% | 24% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (rating 1440 vs 1594).
- H2H favours Roma: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Udinese | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 3.1 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Udinese 1–0–5 Roma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Italy Serie A | Udinese | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Roma |
| 09/11/25 Italy Serie A | Roma | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Udinese |
| 26/01/25 Italy Serie A | Udinese | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Roma |
| 22/09/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Udinese |
| 25/04/24 Italy Serie A | Udinese | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Roma |
| 14/04/24 Italy Serie A | Udinese | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Roma |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
| 9 | Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Udinese | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 0-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Torino | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Inter Milan | 3-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Lazio | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Como | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Napoli | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Udinese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/10 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 14/09 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Monza Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Roma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Udinese vs Roma?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Roma win (58%). Probabilities: Udinese 17%, draw 24%, Roma 58%.
How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Roma?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Udinese 0.86 · Roma 1.77), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Udinese vs Roma?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.