Prediction: Lecce vs Bologna
- Bologna2-0Lecce
- Lecce2-2Bologna
- Lecce0-0Bologna
- Bologna1-0Lecce
- Bologna4-0Lecce
- Lecce1-1Bologna
| Lecce | Draw | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 29% | 48% |
| Market | 23% | 27% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lecce (rating 1496 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Bologna: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lecce | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lecce 0–3–3 Bologna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lecce |
| 28/09/25 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Bologna |
| 09/02/25 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bologna |
| 02/11/24 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lecce |
| 11/02/24 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Lecce |
| 03/12/23 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bologna |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lecce | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Roma | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Sassuolo | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bologna (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lecce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lecce vs Bologna?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bologna win (49%). Probabilities: Lecce 23%, draw 28%, Bologna 49%.
How many goals are expected in Lecce vs Bologna?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Lecce 0.9 · Bologna 1.43), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Bologna?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.