Prediction: Cagliari vs Bologna
Team pages: Cagliari · Bologna
- Bologna0-0Cagliari
- Cagliari0-2Bologna
- Bologna2-1Cagliari
- Cagliari0-2Bologna
- Cagliari2-1Bologna
- Bologna2-1Cagliari
| Cagliari | Draw | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 33% | 38% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cagliari (rating 1537 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Bologna: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cagliari | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cagliari 1–1–4 Bologna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cagliari |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Bologna |
| 02/03/25 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cagliari |
| 29/10/24 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Bologna |
| 14/01/24 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bologna |
| 02/09/23 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cagliari |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
| 16 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 |
| 18 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cagliari | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Lecce | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Inter Milan | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Torino | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cagliari (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cagliari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 07/09 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cagliari vs Bologna?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bologna win (39%). Probabilities: Cagliari 30%, draw 32%, Bologna 39%.
How many goals are expected in Cagliari vs Bologna?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Cagliari 0.92 · Bologna 1.1), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Bologna?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.