Football · Peru Liga 1 · 17/07, 20:00

Prediction: FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
FC Cajamarca1.89
Juan Pablo II College1.4
1X2
48% 26% 27%
FC Cajamarca Draw Juan Pablo II College
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Cajamarca 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWDDDL
Juan Pablo II College 0-5-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLLLDLDD
Head-to-head
FC Cajamarca 0–1–0 Juan Pablo II College (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Cajamarca 1502 · Juan Pablo II College 1434
FC CajamarcaDrawJuan Pablo II College
Our model48%24%27%
Market47%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Cajamarca (rating 1502 vs 1434).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.50.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.31.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cajamarca 010 Juan Pablo II College

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26
Peru Liga 1
Juan Pablo II College3-3
HT 0-1
FC Cajamarca

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Alianza Lima 171241 30840
2 CD Los Chankas 171043 252134
3 Cienciano 171034 342233
4 Universitario de Deportes 17854 241529
5 FBC Melgar 17845 292028
6 Cusco FC 17836 212427
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17755 211826
8 Alianza Atletico 17566 201821
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17566 182021
10 AD Tarma 17557 222120
11 Sport Boys 17557 151920
12 Sporting Cristal 17548 283019
13 Deportivo Moquegua 17539 172418
14 FC Cajamarca 17458 232817
15 Atletico Grau 17449 121816
16 Sport Huancayo 17449 213116
17 Juan Pablo II College 17449 224016
18 UTC Cajamarca 17467 212613

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico 1-1 D 0-2 L
Sport Boys 3-2 W 1-1 D
Deportivo Moquegua 1-2 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Cajamarca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Cajamarca

DLLWWWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 UTC Cajamarca
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-3 86 L
20/06 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-1 47 D
31/05 Alianza Lima
Peru Liga 1
1-0 1-1 20 D
24/05 Alianza Atletico
Peru Liga 1
1-1 1-1 03 D
15/05 Sporting Cristal
Peru Liga 1
0-1 3-1 69 W
08/05 UTC Cajamarca
Peru Liga 1
1-0 2-1 35 W
02/05 Sport Boys
Peru Liga 1
2-0 3-2 26 W
25/04 Deportivo Moquegua
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-2 32 L
23/04 Cusco FC
Peru Liga 1
0-0 0-1 23 L
18/04 AD Tarma
Peru Liga 1
0-0 2-2 33 D

Juan Pablo II College

LDDLLLDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Comerciantes Unidos
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 55 D
20/06 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 51 D
30/05 Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru Liga 1
0-2 1-4 34 L
22/05 FBC Melgar
Peru Liga 1
0-1 1-1 62 D
16/05 Alianza Atletico
Peru Liga 1
0-1 0-2 56 L
10/05 Sport Huancayo
Peru Liga 1
1-1 1-2 53 L
03/05 Universitario de Deportes
Peru Liga 1
0-3 1-4 07 L
26/04 Sport Boys
Peru Liga 1
0-0 1-1 311 D
18/04 Comerciantes Unidos
Peru Liga 1
2-1 2-2 63 D
14/04 Deportivo Moquegua
Peru Liga 1
0-0 0-3 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Cajamarca win (48%). Probabilities: FC Cajamarca 48%, draw 26%, Juan Pablo II College 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?

The model expects 3.29 goals (FC Cajamarca 1.89 · Juan Pablo II College 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.