Prediction: UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua
| UTC Cajamarca | Draw | Deportivo Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UTC Cajamarca | Deportivo Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UTC Cajamarca 1–0–0 Deportivo Moquegua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Moquegua | 2-3 HT 1-1 | UTC Cajamarca |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 37 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II College | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UTC Cajamarca | Deportivo Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Cajamarca | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CD Los Chankas | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FBC Melgar | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moquegua (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UTC Cajamarca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | FC Cajamarca Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Deportivo Moquegua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | FBC Melgar Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UTC Cajamarca win (56%). Probabilities: UTC Cajamarca 56%, draw 26%, Deportivo Moquegua 19%.
How many goals are expected in UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua?
The model expects 2.82 goals (UTC Cajamarca 1.83 · Deportivo Moquegua 0.99), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.