Football · Peru Liga 1 · 25/07, 22:15

Prediction: Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Juan Pablo II College1.47

Cienciano1.63

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Juan Pablo II College Draw Cienciano

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Juan Pablo II College 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

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Cienciano 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Juan Pablo II College 0–1–2 Cienciano (3 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cienciano (rating 1429 vs 1508).
H2H favours Cienciano: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juan Pablo II College	Cienciano
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.7	4.2 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.86

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.33 → 3.33	Pinn 3.33
X	3.69 → 3.69	Pinn 3.69
2	1.97 → 1.97	Pinn 1.97

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18	3.33	3.69	1.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Pablo II College 0–1–2 Cienciano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Peru Liga 1	Cienciano	6-1 HT 3-1	Juan Pablo II College
03/11/25 Peru Liga 1	Cienciano	2-1 HT 0-1	Juan Pablo II College
27/06/25 Peru Liga 1	Juan Pablo II College	2-2 HT 1-2	Cienciano

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30	8	40
2	CD Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25	21	34
3	Cienciano	18	10	3	5	35	25	33
4	Universitario de Deportes	18	9	5	4	26	16	32
5	FBC Melgar	18	9	4	5	32	21	31
6	Cusco FC	18	9	3	6	25	25	30
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	18	7	5	6	21	19	26
8	Sporting Cristal	18	6	4	8	29	30	22
9	Comerciantes Unidos	18	5	7	6	20	22	22
10	Alianza Atletico	18	5	6	7	21	22	21
11	AD Tarma	18	5	5	8	23	23	20
12	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15	19	20
13	Atletico Grau	18	5	4	9	15	19	19
14	Deportivo Moquegua	18	5	4	9	19	26	19
15	FC Cajamarca	18	4	6	8	25	30	18
16	Juan Pablo II College	18	4	5	9	24	42	17
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21	31	16
18	UTC Cajamarca	18	4	6	8	22	29	13

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juan Pablo II College	Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso	1-4 L	2-1 W
FBC Melgar	1-1 D	1-3 L
Sport Huancayo	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cienciano (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Juan Pablo II College

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-2	4	9	D
27/06	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
20/06	Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
30/05	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
22/05	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
16/05	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
10/05	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
03/05	Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1	0-3	1-4	0	7	L
26/04	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-1	3	11	D
18/04	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	2-1	2-2	6	3	D

Cienciano

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
10/07	AD Tarma Peru Copa de la Liga	0-1	2-3	7	1	L
29/06	Cusco FC Peru Copa de la Liga	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
22/06	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Copa de la Liga	1-1	2-1	4	11	W
14/06	Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
01/06	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	1-2	3-2	6	2	W
28/05	Juventud De Las Piedras Copa Sudamericana	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
24/05	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-2	3	3	D
22/05	Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana	0-2	0-2	1	6	L
17/05	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cienciano win (40%). Probabilities: Juan Pablo II College 34%, draw 26%, Cienciano 40%.

How many goals are expected in Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Juan Pablo II College 1.47 · Cienciano 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Juan Pablo II College vs Cienciano?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.