Football · Peru Liga 1 · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Sport Huancayo1.62
Atletico Grau0.93
1X2
Sport Huancayo
Draw
Atletico Grau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Huancayo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Grau
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sport Huancayo
1–3–2
Atletico Grau
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sport Huancayo 1499 · Atletico Grau 1515
| Sport Huancayo | Draw | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Grau: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Huancayo | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.5 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Huancayo 1–3–2 Atletico Grau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Huancayo |
| 26/09/25 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Sport Huancayo |
| 02/05/25 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Huancayo | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 18/10/24 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Huancayo | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Atletico Grau |
| 06/05/24 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Huancayo |
| 25/09/23 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Huancayo |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 37 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II College | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sport Huancayo | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| AD Tarma | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Universitario de Deportes | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cienciano | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Huancayo (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sport Huancayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | AD Tarma Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Union Minas Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Alianza Universidad Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Atletico Grau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/07 | Carlos Manucci Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 27/06 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 22/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Huancayo win (53%). Probabilities: Sport Huancayo 53%, draw 27%, Atletico Grau 21%.
How many goals are expected in Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Sport Huancayo 1.62 · Atletico Grau 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.