Prediction: Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | FC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Garcilaso (rating 1538 vs 1496).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Garcilaso | FC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1–0 FC Cajamarca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | FC Cajamarca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Garcilaso |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 37 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II College | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Garcilaso | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Deportivo Moquegua | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Cusco FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Juan Pablo II College | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| UTC Cajamarca | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Alianza Atletico | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Garcilaso (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Garcilaso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/06 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 15/06 | Cusco FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
FC Cajamarca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 26/06 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 08/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Garcilaso win (62%). Probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso 62%, draw 24%, FC Cajamarca 14%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Deportivo Garcilaso 1.73 · FC Cajamarca 0.69), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.