Football · Peru Liga 1 · 10/10, 03:00

Prediction: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo

Team pages: Deportivo Garcilaso · Sport Huancayo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Deportivo Garcilaso1.57

Sport Huancayo1.17

1X2

45% 27% 27%

Deportivo Garcilaso Draw Sport Huancayo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Garcilaso 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWWLW

Sport Huancayo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Garcilaso 1–2–3 Sport Huancayo (6 last)

Sport Huancayo2-1Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso1-1Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo0-3Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo1-0Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso0-2Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo0-0Deportivo Garcilaso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Garcilaso 1559 · Sport Huancayo 1534

	Deportivo Garcilaso	Draw	Sport Huancayo
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	45%	27%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sport Huancayo: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Garcilaso	Sport Huancayo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.4	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	5.8 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.54 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:53 +5’	2.05	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +1309’	2.00	3.37	3.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Garcilaso 1–2–3 Sport Huancayo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Peru Liga 1	Sport Huancayo	2-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Garcilaso
24/08/25 Peru Liga 1	Deportivo Garcilaso	1-1 HT 1-0	Sport Huancayo
05/04/25 Peru Liga 1	Sport Huancayo	0-3 HT 0-2	Deportivo Garcilaso
19/07/24 Peru Liga 1	Sport Huancayo	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Garcilaso
05/02/24 Peru Liga 1	Deportivo Garcilaso	0-2 HT 0-0	Sport Huancayo
21/09/23 Peru Liga 1	Sport Huancayo	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Garcilaso

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	27	16	8	3	44	18	56
2	Universitario de Deportes	27	14	7	6	43	31	49
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	27	14	6	7	39	24	48
4	FBC Melgar	27	13	7	7	45	29	46
5	Cusco FC	27	14	3	10	40	38	45
6	CD Los Chankas	27	12	6	9	36	45	42
7	Cienciano	27	12	5	10	46	40	41
8	Alianza Atletico	27	11	7	9	40	35	40
9	Sporting Cristal	27	11	5	11	48	40	38
10	Sport Boys	27	10	8	9	29	26	38
11	Sport Huancayo	27	10	5	12	37	44	35
12	Juan Pablo II College	27	9	7	11	42	52	34
13	Atletico Grau	27	9	5	13	26	31	32
14	Comerciantes Unidos	27	7	9	11	35	38	30
15	FC Cajamarca	27	7	6	14	41	52	27
16	AD Tarma	27	6	7	14	29	42	25
17	Deportivo Moquegua	27	6	7	14	24	41	25
18	UTC Cajamarca	27	4	8	15	32	50	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Garcilaso	Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys	0-1 L	2-1 W
Atletico Grau	4-2 W	2-0 W
Alianza Lima	1-0 W	1-2 L
Deportivo Moquegua	2-0 W	0-2 L
AD Tarma	1-0 W	3-1 W
FC Cajamarca	2-1 W	2-0 W
Sporting Cristal	0-1 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Garcilaso

LWWWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
13/09	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
06/09	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	1-0	4-2	12	6	W
30/08	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
23/08	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	1-0	4-1	4	5	W
17/08	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
09/08	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
02/08	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
27/07	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
17/07	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	3	1	L

Sport Huancayo

LWWDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	3-2	7	6	W
12/09	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
05/09	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	9	8	W
30/08	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	3-0	3-1	0	10	W
22/08	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
16/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	0-2	1-4	4	4	L
07/08	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-1	11	8	D
01/08	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-0	2	6	W
25/07	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-0	10	3	W
20/07	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-2	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Garcilaso win (45%). Probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso 45%, draw 27%, Sport Huancayo 27%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Deportivo Garcilaso 1.57 · Sport Huancayo 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.