Football · Peru Liga 1 · 31/10, 21:30

Prediction: Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College

Team pages: Alianza Atletico · Juan Pablo II College

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Alianza Atletico1.99

Juan Pablo II College1.46

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Alianza Atletico Draw Juan Pablo II College

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Alianza Atletico 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLLW

Juan Pablo II College 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Alianza Atletico 1–2 Juan Pablo II College (3 last)

Juan Pablo II College0-2Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico0-1Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College1-0Alianza Atletico

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Juan Pablo II College: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alianza Atletico	Juan Pablo II College
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.92

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:52

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.74▲	Pinn 1.74
X	3.93 → 3.80▼	Pinn 3.80
2	4.62 → 4.27▼	Pinn 4.27

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:38 +6’	1.67	3.93	4.62
23:41 +45’	1.70▲	3.86▼	4.43▼
01:22 +31’	1.74▲	3.80▼	4.27▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza Atletico 1–0–2 Juan Pablo II College

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Peru Liga 1	Juan Pablo II College	0-2 HT 0-1	Alianza Atletico
13/09/25 Peru Liga 1	Alianza Atletico	0-1 HT 0-1	Juan Pablo II College
12/04/25 Peru Liga 1	Juan Pablo II College	1-0 HT 1-0	Alianza Atletico

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	30	19	8	3	50	20	65
2	Universitario de Deportes	30	16	8	6	52	34	56
3	FBC Melgar	30	15	8	7	53	34	53
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	30	15	6	9	45	30	51
5	Cusco FC	30	15	3	12	45	43	48
6	Cienciano	30	14	5	11	50	43	47
7	CD Los Chankas	30	13	7	10	39	50	46
8	Sporting Cristal	30	13	5	12	54	45	44
9	Sport Huancayo	31	13	5	13	44	48	44
10	Alianza Atletico	30	12	7	11	45	44	43
11	Juan Pablo II College	31	11	8	12	47	56	41
12	Sport Boys	30	11	8	11	34	33	37
13	Comerciantes Unidos	30	8	10	12	41	44	34
14	Atletico Grau	30	9	7	14	28	35	34
15	AD Tarma	31	7	9	15	33	45	29
16	Deportivo Moquegua	31	7	7	17	25	46	28
17	FC Cajamarca	31	7	7	17	44	60	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	31	5	8	18	36	55	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alianza Atletico	Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo	1-4 L	2-0 W
Universitario de Deportes	1-4 L	0-3 L
Sport Boys	3-1 W	2-0 W
Comerciantes Unidos	2-1 W	1-1 D
UTC Cajamarca	3-2 W	2-1 W
Deportivo Moquegua	4-1 W	4-0 W
AD Tarma	1-1 D	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Juan Pablo II College (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza Atletico

DWWWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	3-0	3-2	6	2	W
24/10	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-4	1-4	5	2	L
18/10	Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1	0-3	1-4	9	5	L
11/10	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	0-1	3-1	2	9	W
18/09	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	1-1	2-1	10	4	W
13/09	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
04/09	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-1	3-2	5	6	W
30/08	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
21/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
15/08	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-1	4	9	D

Juan Pablo II College

LWWDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
25/10	Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-3	1	1	L
17/10	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
10/10	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
20/09	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	2-0	4-0	6	7	W
11/09	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	5	11	W
06/09	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
29/08	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	3-2	4-3	2	5	W
22/08	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	2-0	5-1	2	0	W
15/08	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza Atletico win (49%). Probabilities: Alianza Atletico 49%, draw 24%, Juan Pablo II College 27%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Alianza Atletico 1.99 · Juan Pablo II College 1.46), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.