Prediction: Deportivo Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos
| Deportivo Moquegua | Draw | Comerciantes Unidos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 33% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 28% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Moquegua | Comerciantes Unidos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 1.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moquegua 0–0–1 Comerciantes Unidos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moquegua |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportivo Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 18 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Moquegua | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| AD Tarma | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Cienciano | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Juan Pablo II College | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moquegua (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Moquegua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | FBC Melgar Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/04 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 14/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Comerciantes Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 25/04 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moquegua win (50%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moquegua 50%, draw 30%, Comerciantes Unidos 20%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Deportivo Moquegua 1.23 · Comerciantes Unidos 0.66), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.