Football · Peru Liga 1 · 24/07, 22:00
Prediction: Alianza Atletico vs CD Los Chankas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Alianza Atletico1.47
CD Los Chankas0.95
1X2
Alianza Atletico
Draw
CD Los Chankas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza Atletico
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CD Los Chankas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alianza Atletico
4–2
CD Los Chankas
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alianza Atletico 1517 · CD Los Chankas 1504
| Alianza Atletico | Draw | CD Los Chankas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Alianza Atletico: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza Atletico | CD Los Chankas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza Atletico 4–0–2 CD Los Chankas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza Atletico |
| 12/10/25 Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Los Chankas |
| 01/06/25 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Alianza Atletico |
| 28/10/24 Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Los Chankas |
| 19/05/24 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza Atletico |
| 04/11/20 Peru Liga 2 | CD Los Chankas | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Alianza Atletico |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 37 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II College | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alianza Atletico | CD Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|
| Cusco FC | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Alianza Lima | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alianza Atletico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Alianza Lima Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Carlos Manucci Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | CA Tigre Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
CD Los Chankas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Santos FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Ayacucho FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 31/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alianza Atletico vs CD Los Chankas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza Atletico win (48%). Probabilities: Alianza Atletico 48%, draw 28%, CD Los Chankas 24%.
How many goals are expected in Alianza Atletico vs CD Los Chankas?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Alianza Atletico 1.47 · CD Los Chankas 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alianza Atletico vs CD Los Chankas?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.