Prediction: Sport Boys vs AD Tarma
| Sport Boys | Draw | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Boys | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 1.5 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Boys 2–2–2 AD Tarma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sport Boys |
| 04/08/25 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AD Tarma |
| 27/02/25 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Sport Boys |
| 01/11/24 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Boys |
| 26/05/24 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD Tarma |
| 12/08/23 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AD Tarma |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 21 | 37 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II College | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sport Boys | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cusco FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Universitario de Deportes | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Boys (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sport Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Comerciantes FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 11 | D |
AD Tarma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/06 | Alianza Universidad Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Union Minas Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sport Boys vs AD Tarma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Boys win (48%). Probabilities: Sport Boys 48%, draw 29%, AD Tarma 22%.
How many goals are expected in Sport Boys vs AD Tarma?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Sport Boys 1.3 · AD Tarma 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sport Boys vs AD Tarma?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.