Football · Peru Liga 1 · 25/07, 03:30
Prediction: Universitario de Deportes vs Cusco FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Universitario de Deportes1.72
Cusco FC0.95
1X2
Universitario de Deportes
Draw
Cusco FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universitario de Deportes
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Cusco FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universitario de Deportes
2–3–1
Cusco FC
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universitario de Deportes (rating 1535 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Universitario de Deportes: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario de Deportes | Cusco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.7 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario de Deportes 2–3–1 Cusco FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 28/09/25 Peru Liga 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Cusco FC |
| 04/05/25 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 21/08/24 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 13/03/24 Peru Liga 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cusco FC |
| 22/10/23 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario de Deportes |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 19 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 18 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II College | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universitario de Deportes | Cusco FC |
|---|---|---|
| AD Tarma | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Atletico Grau | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sport Boys | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universitario de Deportes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Millonarios America Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Atletico Grau Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 13/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Deportes Tolima Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Nacional De Football Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Cusco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/06 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Independiente Medellin Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universitario de Deportes vs Cusco FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario de Deportes win (54%). Probabilities: Universitario de Deportes 54%, draw 26%, Cusco FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Universitario de Deportes vs Cusco FC?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Universitario de Deportes 1.72 · Cusco FC 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universitario de Deportes vs Cusco FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.