Football · Peru Liga 1 · 23/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sport Boys vs Cienciano
Team pages: Sport Boys · Cienciano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Sport Boys1.49
Cienciano1.05
1X2
Sport Boys
Draw
Cienciano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Boys
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Cienciano
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sport Boys
2–2–2
Cienciano
(6 last)
- Cienciano3-1Sport Boys
- Cienciano2-2Sport Boys
- Sport Boys2-2Cienciano
- Sport Boys2-0Cienciano
- Cienciano3-2Sport Boys
- Sport Boys2-1Cienciano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sport Boys 1540 · Cienciano 1494
| Sport Boys | Draw | Cienciano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Boys (rating 1540 vs 1494).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Boys | Cienciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.4 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Boys 2–2–2 Cienciano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Sport Boys |
| 18/09/25 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Sport Boys |
| 19/04/25 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Cienciano |
| 30/07/24 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cienciano |
| 18/02/24 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Sport Boys |
| 28/10/23 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Cienciano |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 51 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 30 | 41 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 39 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 38 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 36 |
| 7 | Cusco FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 29 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 28 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 28 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 38 | 23 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
| 15 | Deportivo Moquegua | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29 | 22 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 21 |
| 17 | Juan Pablo II College | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 21 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sport Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 9 | D |
| 09/08 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Comerciantes FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Cienciano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/08 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 14/08 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
4-0 | 6-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 06/08 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/07 | Lanus Copa Sudamericana |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Lanus Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/07 | AD Tarma Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sport Boys vs Cienciano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Boys win (46%). Probabilities: Sport Boys 46%, draw 28%, Cienciano 26%.
How many goals are expected in Sport Boys vs Cienciano?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Sport Boys 1.49 · Cienciano 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sport Boys vs Cienciano?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.