Football · Peru Liga 1 · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: CD Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College

Team pages: CD Los Chankas · Juan Pablo II College

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

CD Los Chankas2.02

Juan Pablo II College0.84

1X2

64% 22% 14%

CD Los Chankas Draw Juan Pablo II College

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Los Chankas 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLDWLWDL

Juan Pablo II College 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWLDLW

Head-to-head

CD Los Chankas 2–1 Juan Pablo II College (3 last)

Juan Pablo II College2-3CD Los Chankas
CD Los Chankas1-0Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College3-0CD Los Chankas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Los Chankas 1519 · Juan Pablo II College 1444

	CD Los Chankas	Draw	Juan Pablo II College
Our model	64%	22%	14%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Los Chankas (rating 1519 vs 1444).
H2H favours CD Los Chankas: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Los Chankas	Juan Pablo II College
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.10

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:46 +2’	1.42	4.10	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Los Chankas 2–0–1 Juan Pablo II College

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Peru Liga 1	Juan Pablo II College	2-3 HT 0-2	CD Los Chankas
18/10/25 Peru Liga 1	CD Los Chankas	1-0 HT 1-0	Juan Pablo II College
14/06/25 Peru Liga 1	Juan Pablo II College	3-0 HT 2-0	CD Los Chankas

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	22	15	6	1	39	13	51
2	CD Los Chankas	22	12	5	5	31	30	41
3	Universitario de Deportes	22	11	6	5	32	22	39
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	23	11	6	6	30	21	39
5	FBC Melgar	22	11	5	6	39	26	38
6	Cienciano	22	11	4	7	37	28	37
7	Cusco FC	23	11	3	9	34	35	36
8	Alianza Atletico	23	8	7	8	30	28	31
9	Sporting Cristal	23	8	5	10	38	37	29
10	Comerciantes Unidos	23	7	8	8	30	30	29
11	Sport Boys	22	7	7	8	20	22	28
12	Atletico Grau	23	7	5	11	19	23	26
13	Deportivo Moquegua	23	6	7	10	22	29	25
14	Juan Pablo II College	23	6	6	11	31	47	24
15	Sport Huancayo	23	6	5	12	28	40	23
16	AD Tarma	23	5	7	11	26	33	22
17	FC Cajamarca	23	5	6	12	33	42	21
18	UTC Cajamarca	23	4	8	11	25	38	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Los Chankas	Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar	0-3 L	1-1 D
Sport Huancayo	1-1 D	1-2 L
Alianza Atletico	1-3 L	0-2 L
Cusco FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Deportivo Garcilaso	0-1 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CD Los Chankas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Los Chankas

LDWLDWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
07/08	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
31/07	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	3-2	3-2	5	6	W
24/07	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
19/07	Sport Boys Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
31/05	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
24/05	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
17/05	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
11/05	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
04/05	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

Juan Pablo II College

LLDLDWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	2-0	5-1	2	0	W
15/08	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
08/08	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
02/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
25/07	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
17/07	FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-2	4	9	D
30/05	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
22/05	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
16/05	Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
10/05	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Los Chankas win (64%). Probabilities: CD Los Chankas 64%, draw 22%, Juan Pablo II College 14%.

How many goals are expected in CD Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College?

The model expects 2.86 goals (CD Los Chankas 2.02 · Juan Pablo II College 0.84), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.