Football · Peru Liga 1 · 06/09, 20:30
Prediction: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
Team pages: Deportivo Garcilaso · Atletico Grau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Deportivo Garcilaso1.37
Atletico Grau0.66
1X2
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw
Atletico Grau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Garcilaso
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Atletico Grau
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Garcilaso
1–5–0
Atletico Grau
(6 last)
- Atletico Grau0-0Deportivo Garcilaso
- Atletico Grau1-1Deportivo Garcilaso
- Deportivo Garcilaso2-0Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau2-2Deportivo Garcilaso
- Deportivo Garcilaso0-0Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau1-1Deportivo Garcilaso
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Garcilaso (rating 1574 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.6 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.6 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Garcilaso 1–5–0 Atletico Grau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Garcilaso |
| 06/08/25 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Garcilaso |
| 28/02/25 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 22/10/24 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Garcilaso |
| 12/05/24 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 30/07/23 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Garcilaso |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 42 |
| 4 | CD Los Chankas | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 39 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 39 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 37 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 34 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 23 | 34 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 29 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 33 | 29 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 29 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 50 | 27 |
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 41 | 26 |
| 15 | Deportivo Moquegua | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 33 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 44 | 24 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 42 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Garcilaso | Atletico Grau |
|---|---|---|
| Cusco FC | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Cienciano | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Moquegua | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Cajamarca | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Juan Pablo II College | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Comerciantes Unidos | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| UTC Cajamarca | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Garcilaso (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Garcilaso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Atletico Grau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Garcilaso win (53%). Probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso 53%, draw 30%, Atletico Grau 17%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Deportivo Garcilaso 1.37 · Atletico Grau 0.66), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.